Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Weekly Commentary (Updated Nov. 14, 2024): More to come.
Below are the latest rankings for best supporting actress. The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The full rankings are below. All movie listings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are
Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)Rank Performer & Film 1 Saoirse Ronan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films) 2 Zoe Saldaña — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) 3 Isabella Rossellini — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 4 Ariana Grande — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures) 5 Danielle Deadwyler — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) Next in Line
Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)Rank Performer & Film 6 Monica Barbaro — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures) 7 Selena Gomez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) 8 Felicity Jones — “The Brutalist” (A24) 9 Natasha Lyonne — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 10 Michele Austin — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street) Other Contenders
Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)Rank Performer & Film 11 Joan Chen — “Dìdi” (Focus Features) 12 Margaret Qualley — “The Substance” (Mubi) 13 Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion) 14 Leonie Benesch — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 15 Carrie Coon — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 16 Jennifer Lopez — “Unstoppable” (Amazon MGM) 17 Jamie Lee Curtis — “The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions) 18 Connie Nielsen — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 19 Elizabeth Olsen — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 20 Fernanda Montenegro — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics) Also In Contention
Oscars: Best Actress in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions)Rank Performer & Film 21 Toni Collette — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.) 22 Adriana Paz — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) 23 Rachel Sennott — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) 24 Maria Bakalova — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment) 25 Lesley Manville — “Queer” (A24) 26 Elle Fanning — “A Complete Unknown” (Searchlight Pictures) 27 Dolly De Leon — “Ghostlight” (IFC Films) 28 Lady Gaga — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.) 29 Brenda Song — “The Last Showgirl” (Roadside Attractions) 30 Brigette Lundy-Paine — “I Saw the TV Glow” (A24) Eligible Titles (Best Supporting Actress)
** This list is incomplete and not yet finalized. Not all films have distribution or release dates. All are subject to change.
More Information (Oscars: Best Supporting Actress)
2024 category winner: Da’Vine Joy Randolph — “The Holdovers” (Focus Features)
2024-2025 Oscars Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
- Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- General entry, best picture, RAISE submission deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting begins Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting ends Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortlists Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility period ends: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting begins Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting ends Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Final voting begins Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Final voting ends: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Categories
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious artistic award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Nineteen branches are represented within the nearly 11,000-person membership. The branches are actors, animators, associates, casting directors, cinematographers, costume designers, directors, documentary, executives, film editors, makeup and hairstylists, marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, production design, short films, sound, visual effects and writers.
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